GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hendon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beaconsfield Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hendon are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hendon hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hendon holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hendon

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Hendon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beaconsfield TownLDWWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HendonDWDDW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Beaconsfield TownHendon
50.0Attack55.6
38.1Defence48.4
38.1Form46.0
44.0Power51.9
1.64xG1.95
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