GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/16/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beaconsfield Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beaconsfield Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dorchester Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorchester Town hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Beaconsfield Town holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beaconsfield Town

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Beaconsfield Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beaconsfield TownLWWWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Dorchester TownWDDWL

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Beaconsfield TownDorchester Town
50.0Attack52.4
38.1Defence38.9
38.1Form47.6
44.0Power48.3
1.96xG1.82
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