GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/26/2023, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Beaconsfield Town are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chesham United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

62.5%

Model confidence

62.5%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beaconsfield TownDDDLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Chesham UnitedWLWDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Beaconsfield TownChesham United
50.0Attack65.9
38.1Defence63.5
38.1Form71.4
44.0Power67.2
1.10xG2.43
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