Be1 NFAvs
Transinvest 2
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 9/18/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Be1 NFA · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Be1 NFA 2-1 Transinvest 2
Original prediction
Be1 NFA
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 69.1% | 81.7% | 12.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.91 | 18.1% | 11.7% | -6.5 pts |
| Away | 7.01 | 12.7% | 6.6% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–013%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
Be1 NFA
Probability
81.7%
Model confidence
81.7%
Be1 NFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Be1 NFAWWWWW
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Transinvest 2WLLLW
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Be1 NFATransinvest 2
59.4Attack38.9
65.2Defence22.2
68.1Form29.2
64.8Power32.8
3.29xG0.68