GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 10/16/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Be1 NFA · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Be1 NFA 2-0 Neptūną Klaipėda

Original prediction

Be1 NFA

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8049.8%55.5%5.7 pts
Draw3.5225.5%24.0%-1.5 pts
Away3.6524.7%20.5%-4.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–013%
  2. 2.1–113%
  3. 3.2–011%

Predicted outcome

Be1 NFA

Probability

55.5%

Model confidence

55.5%

Be1 NFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Be1 NFADWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Neptūną KlaipėdaLLWLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Be1 NFANeptūną Klaipėda
60.0Attack42.3
64.0Defence60.3
68.0Form56.4
64.7Power54.8
1.59xG0.82
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