Be1 NFAvs
Kauno Žalgiris II
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 9/4/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Be1 NFA · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Be1 NFA 2-0 Kauno Žalgiris II, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Be1 NFA 1-0 Kauno Žalgiris II
Original prediction
Be1 NFA
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 66.9% | 75.1% | 8.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.56 | 19.6% | 16.3% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 6.65 | 13.5% | 8.6% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.2 pts
Projected Score
Be1 NFA 2–0 Kauno Žalgiris II
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Be1 NFA
Probability
75.1%
Model confidence
75.1%
Be1 NFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Be1 NFAWWWLL
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Kauno Žalgiris IIWWLWL
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Be1 NFAKauno Žalgiris II
60.3Attack28.6
61.9Defence46.0
65.1Form25.4
62.9Power35.4
2.30xG0.55