Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Be1 NFA · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Be1 NFA 2-2 Dainava
Original prediction
Be1 NFA
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.2% | 48.3% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.3% | 26.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 27.5% | 25.4% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Be1 NFA
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Be1 NFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Be1 NFAWWWWW
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
DainavaLWLDL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Be1 NFADainava
59.7Attack46.7
65.3Defence66.7
69.4Form53.3
65.5Power56.3
1.33xG0.87