Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Be1 NFA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Be1 NFA are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while BFA are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Be1 NFA hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the 1 Lyga, while Be1 NFA holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Be1 NFA
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Be1 NFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40