GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 8/27/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hürth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

BCV Glesch / Paffendorf are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hürth are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Hürth hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (20.9 v 40.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Hürth holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hürth

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

53.4%

Hürth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BCV Glesch / PaffendorfLW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
HürthDLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.33/1.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
BCV Glesch / PaffendorfHürth
27.5Attack36.8
11.8Defence41.4
11.8Form37.9
20.9Power40.8
1.11xG1.96
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