GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 10/8/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Frechen · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

BCV Glesch / Paffendorf are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Frechen are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 45.6-point power-rating edge (20.9 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.7% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Frechen

Probability

90.7%

Model confidence

90.7%

Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BCV Glesch / PaffendorfLDDLL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FrechenWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
BCV Glesch / PaffendorfFrechen
27.5Attack78.2
11.8Defence62.1
11.8Form66.7
20.9Power66.5
0.67xG4.47
View match centre →