GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 9/10/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortuna Köln II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

BCV Glesch / Paffendorf are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fortuna Köln II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortuna Köln II hold a 27.9-point power-rating edge (20.9 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.3% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Fortuna Köln II holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortuna Köln II

Probability

73.3%

Model confidence

73.3%

Fortuna Köln II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BCV Glesch / PaffendorfLLDLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Fortuna Köln IIWLLDW

GF 16 · GA 13 · avg 3.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
BCV Glesch / PaffendorfFortuna Köln II
27.5Attack55.2
11.8Defence46.0
11.8Form44.8
20.9Power48.8
1.00xG3.01
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