GGOALVIO

Hong-Kong · League Cup · 10/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wofoo Tai Po · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

BC Rangers 1-3 Wofoo Tai Po

Original prediction

Wofoo Tai Po

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.2421.5%26.5%4.9 pts
Draw4.0822.3%25.2%2.9 pts
Away1.6256.2%48.3%-7.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–28%

Predicted outcome

Wofoo Tai Po

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Wofoo Tai Po has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BC RangersWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Wofoo Tai PoLLWWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BC RangersWofoo Tai Po
0.0Attack66.7
0.0Defence77.8
0.0Form66.7
7.0Power69.4
1.26xG2.03
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