BC Rangersvs
Warriors
COMPLETEDHong-Kong · Senior Shield · 10/25/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Warriors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BC Rangers 2-4 Warriors
Original prediction
Warriors
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 03:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.87 | 15.3% | 30.7% | 15.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.82 | 18.7% | 24.7% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 1.36 | 66.0% | 44.6% | -21.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Warriors
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20