BC Rangersvs
Warriors
COMPLETEDHong-Kong · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Warriors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 0-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BC Rangers 0-2 Warriors
Original prediction
Warriors
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.10 | 10.0% | 16.0% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.58 | 16.3% | 18.6% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.23 | 73.7% | 65.4% | -8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–38%
Predicted outcome
Warriors
Probability
65.4%
Model confidence
65.4%
Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20