BC Rangersvs
North District
COMPLETEDHong-Kong · Premier League · 10/18/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
North District · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (10%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BC Rangers 0-1 North District
Original prediction
North District
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.86 | 10.2% | 13.0% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.54 | 16.3% | 16.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.23 | 73.4% | 70.6% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–310%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
North District
Probability
70.6%
Model confidence
70.6%
North District has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40