BC Rangersvs
Eastern District
COMPLETEDHong-Kong · Premier League · 8/30/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eastern District · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BC Rangers 1-3 Eastern District
Original prediction
Eastern District
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.18 | 28.6% | 34.5% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.5% | 29.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 43.9% | 36.2% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Eastern District
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Eastern District has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00