BC Rangersvs
Eastern
COMPLETEDHong-Kong · Premier League · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eastern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BC Rangers 1-0 Eastern
Original prediction
Eastern
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.61 | 25.1% | 30.3% | 5.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 21.9% | 23.2% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.71 | 52.9% | 46.4% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Eastern
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Eastern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
GF 12 · GA 15 · avg 2.40/3.00