Bắc Ninhvs
Ho Chi Minh
COMPLETEDVietnam · V.League 1 · 9/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ho Chi Minh · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bắc Ninh 1-0 Ho Chi Minh
Original prediction
Ho Chi Minh
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.9% | 31.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.4% | 28.7% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.7% | 39.4% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Ho Chi Minh
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Ho Chi Minh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80