Western Australia NPLWestern Australia NPL
Friday, 17 July 202612:00Updated today
Bayswater City

Bayswater City

Home
D
vs
12:00
Sorrento

Sorrento

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
49% confidence
Bayswater City(44%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Bayswater City
44%
Draw
35%
Sorrento
21%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Bayswater City
34
Sorrento
34
Defence
Bayswater City
66
Sorrento
27
Momentum
Bayswater City
33
Sorrento
0
Danger (xG)
Bayswater City
0.90
Sorrento
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Bayswater City)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Sorrento)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Bayswater City)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Sorrento)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Bayswater CityBayswater City
DL
SorrentoSorrento
L

Probability breakdown

49% confidence
Bayswater City44%
Draw35%
Sorrento21%

Bayswater City leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Bayswater City head into this in Western Australia NPL fixture in mixed form (D), while Sorrento arrive in mixed form (L). Bayswater City have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Sorrento over 1 games.

The model rates Bayswater City's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Sorrento defence, and Sorrento's attack at 34/100 against a 66/100 Bayswater City backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Bayswater City have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Sorrento have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Bayswater City and Sorrento in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Bayswater City to win with 49% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Bayswater City 4406%, Draw 3500%, Sorrento 2094%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Bayswater City

Bayswater City

D
@ Fremantle City
4 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Perth Glory II
16 May 2026
01
Sorrento

Sorrento

L
vs Perth
16 May 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bayswater City vs Sorrento?

GoalVio's model predicts Bayswater City to win with 49% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Bayswater City vs Sorrento?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Bayswater City vs Sorrento?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bayswater City vs Sorrento?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more