GGOALVIO

Australia · Western Australia NPL · 4/1/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayswater City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Bayswater City are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Perth Glory II are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 2.33 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayswater City hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.6% in the Western Australia NPL, while Bayswater City holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayswater City

Probability

77.6%

Model confidence

77.6%

Bayswater City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayswater CityLLLLL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Perth Glory IIWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 2.33/2.00

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Bayswater CityPerth Glory II
92.1Attack65.1
57.1Defence31.7
69.8Form33.3
70.7Power44.5
4.36xG1.46
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