Bayswater Cityvs
Marconi Stallions
COMPLETEDAustralia · Australian Championship · 10/17/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marconi Stallions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bayswater City 3-1 Marconi Stallions
Original prediction
Marconi Stallions
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.77 | 24.3% | 35.0% | 10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.6% | 27.1% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.76 | 52.1% | 38.0% | -14.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Marconi Stallions
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Marconi Stallions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40