Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Memmingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bayreuth are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Memmingen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Memmingen hold a 24.4-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 90.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Regionalliga - Bayern, while Memmingen holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Memmingen
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Memmingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60