Bayern Munich Wvs
SC Freiburg W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayern Munich W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bayern Munich W 4-1 SC Freiburg W
Original prediction
Bayern Munich W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.04 | 87.8% | 57.5% | -30.3 pts |
| Draw | 11.81 | 7.8% | 21.3% | 13.6 pts |
| Away | 20.78 | 4.4% | 21.1% | 16.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-30.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Bayern Munich W
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Bayern Munich W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40