Bayern Munich Wvs
Mainz 05 W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 8/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayern Munich W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bayern Munich W 2-0 Mainz 05 W
Original prediction
Bayern Munich W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.02 | 91.8% | 59.8% | -32.0 pts |
| Draw | 16.03 | 5.8% | 20.2% | 14.4 pts |
| Away | 39.25 | 2.4% | 20.0% | 17.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-32.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Bayern Munich W
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
59.8%
Bayern Munich W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60