Bayern Munich Wvs
FC Koln W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayern Munich W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bayern Munich W 5-2 FC Koln W
Original prediction
Bayern Munich W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.10 | 81.2% | 54.8% | -26.4 pts |
| Draw | 7.40 | 12.1% | 21.4% | 9.3 pts |
| Away | 13.42 | 6.7% | 23.7% | 17.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Bayern Munich W
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Bayern Munich W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40