Bayern Munichvs
VfB Stuttgart
COMPLETEDGermany · Bundesliga · 8/28/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayern Munich · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bayern Munich 5-1 VfB Stuttgart
Original prediction
Bayern Munich
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 77.7% | 53.1% | -24.7 pts |
| Draw | 7.34 | 13.0% | 17.7% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 10.22 | 9.3% | 29.2% | 19.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Bayern Munich
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Bayern Munich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00