GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/15/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayern München · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Bayern München are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while RB Leipzig are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayern München hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (75.6 v 61.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bayern München holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayern München

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

11.1%

Bayern München has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayern MünchenWWLWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
RB LeipzigLWWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
77.8Attack46.7
72.2Defence66.7
77.8Form66.7
75.6Power61.3
2.02xG1.05
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