GGOALVIO

Bayern München logoBayern MünchenvsRB Leipzig logoRB Leipzig

COMPLETED

Germany · Super Cup · 8/12/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RB Leipzig · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bayern München are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while RB Leipzig are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and RB Leipzig hold a 90.0-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Super Cup, while RB Leipzig holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

RB Leipzig

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

RB Leipzig has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayern MünchenWWWLD

GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RB LeipzigWWWDL

GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
7.0Power97.0
1.38xG2.06
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