Bayern Münchenvs
Bodo/Glimt
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 9/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayern München · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bayern München 5-0 Bodo/Glimt
Original prediction
Bayern München
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.09 | 88.1% | 56.0% | -32.1 pts |
| Draw | 12.49 | 7.7% | 20.6% | 12.9 pts |
| Away | 22.41 | 4.3% | 23.4% | 19.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-32.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Bayern München
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
Bayern München has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20