BundesligaBundesliga
Saturday, 16 May 2026Last updated 10:14
Bayern München

Bayern München

Home
W
51
Full time
1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln

Away
L
Allianz Arena
GoalVio prediction
64% confidence
Bayern München(64%)
Most likely exact score3-1
Prediction correct— Result: Bayern München
Win probability
Bayern München
64%
Draw
18%
1. FC Köln
18%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Bayern München
100
1. FC Köln
34
Defence
Bayern München
66
1. FC Köln
0
Momentum
Bayern München
100
1. FC Köln
0
Danger (xG)
Bayern München
4.50
1. FC Köln
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Bayern München)
4.50
avg per match
xG for (1. FC Köln)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Bayern München)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (1. FC Köln)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Bayern MünchenBayern München
W
1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
L

Probability breakdown

64% confidence
Bayern München64%
Draw18%
1. FC Köln18%

Bayern München leads with 64% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Bayern München head into this in Bundesliga fixture at Allianz Arena in mixed form (W), while 1. FC Köln arrive in mixed form (L). Bayern München have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for 1. FC Köln over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Bayern München's elite attack (100/100) faces a vulnerable 1. FC Köln defence (0/100), while 1. FC Köln's attack is up against a solid Bayern München backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Bayern München's favour.

Bayern München have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 5.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. 1. FC Köln have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 5.0 conceded per away game.

Bayern München have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 6.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Bayern München to win with 64% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 3-1. Win probabilities: Bayern München 6391%, Draw 1843%, 1. FC Köln 1766%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Bayern München 1Draws 00 1. FC Köln
Avg goals: 6.0BTTS in 1/1
16 May 2026
Bayern München
W51
1. FC Köln

Recent form

Bayern München

Bayern München

W
vs 1. FC Köln
16 May 2026
51
1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln

L
@ Bayern München
16 May 2026
15

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?

GoalVio's model predicts Bayern München to win with 64% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 3-1.

Will both teams score in Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more