Bayern München U19vs
Arsenal U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayern München U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bayern München U19 3-3 Arsenal U19
Original prediction
Bayern München U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.3% | 47.3% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 21.1% | 23.7% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 24.7% | 29.0% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Bayern München U19
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Bayern München U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60