GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SpVgg Unterhaching · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Bayern München II 0-0 SpVgg Unterhaching, with an exact score probability of 19%.

Prediction record

Final result

Bayern München II 1-1 SpVgg Unterhaching

Original prediction

SpVgg Unterhaching

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.8432.1%32.2%0.2 pts
Draw3.6325.1%30.5%5.4 pts
Away2.1342.9%37.2%-5.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.6 pts

Projected Score

Bayern München II 0–0 SpVgg Unterhaching

Exact score probability: 19%

Predicted outcome

SpVgg Unterhaching

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

SpVgg Unterhaching has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayern München IIDWWDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SpVgg UnterhachingDDDWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Bayern München IISpVgg Unterhaching
42.4Attack45.5
63.6Defence69.7
45.5Form60.6
51.5Power60.2
0.81xG0.94
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