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Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 10:11
Bayern Alzenau

Bayern Alzenau

Home
W
72
Full time
Wormatia Worms

Wormatia Worms

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Wormatia Worms33%
Bayern Alzenau33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Bayern Alzenau
33%
Draw
33%
Wormatia Worms
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Bayern Alzenau
100
Wormatia Worms
100
Defence
Bayern Alzenau
6
Wormatia Worms
91
Momentum
Bayern Alzenau
100
Wormatia Worms
100
Danger (xG)
Bayern Alzenau
5.40
Wormatia Worms
7.20
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 3.68 xG for Bayern Alzenau and 2.15 xG for Wormatia Worms — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Bayern Alzenau holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Bayern Alzenau's Attack Score (100) exceeds Wormatia Worms's Defensive Stability (91), and Wormatia Worms's attack (100) similarly tests Bayern Alzenau's defence (6). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 5.82 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 4 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Bayern Alzenau's Attack Score (100) vs Wormatia Worms's Defensive Stability (91) and Wormatia Worms's attack (100) vs Bayern Alzenau's defence (6) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (Bayern Alzenau)
5.40
avg per match
xG for (Wormatia Worms)
7.20
avg per match
xG against (Bayern Alzenau)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Wormatia Worms)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Bayern AlzenauBayern Alzenau
WD
Wormatia WormsWormatia Worms
W

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Bayern Alzenau33%
Draw33%
Wormatia Worms33%

Wormatia Worms leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Bayern Alzenau vs Wormatia Worms: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Bayern Alzenau host Wormatia Worms in Friendlies Clubs. Bayern Alzenau have recorded LLDDWW in recent matches while Wormatia Worms arrive with a run of WLWDLL. These sides have met 2 times recently, averaging 6.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 3.68 for Bayern Alzenau and 2.15 for Wormatia Worms. The gap of 1.53 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Bayern Alzenau have been conceding 3.93 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

Bayern Alzenau

Bayern Alzenau

W
@ SV Zeilsheim
15 Jul 2026
63
D
vs SGV Freiberg
16 May 2026
33
Wormatia Worms

Wormatia Worms

W
vs Eppelborn
16 May 2026
80

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bayern Alzenau vs Wormatia Worms?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Bayern Alzenau vs Wormatia Worms?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Bayern Alzenau vs Wormatia Worms?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bayern Alzenau vs Wormatia Worms?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more