GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/11/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weidenhausen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bayern Alzenau are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Weidenhausen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Weidenhausen hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Weidenhausen holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weidenhausen

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Weidenhausen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayern AlzenauLWLWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
WeidenhausenWWLWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Bayern AlzenauWeidenhausen
44.4Attack60.8
44.4Defence45.1
22.2Form49.0
40.2Power51.5
1.79xG1.96
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