GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 7/27/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bayern Alzenau are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayern AlzenauLWDDW

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Vfb MarburgLDLLL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bayern AlzenauVfb Marburg
44.4Attack50.0
44.4Defence66.7
22.2Form66.7
40.2Power64.8
1.44xG1.76
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