GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/2/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bayern Alzenau are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayern AlzenauLWWWW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Vfb MarburgWLDLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bayern AlzenauVfb Marburg
44.4Attack50.0
44.4Defence66.7
22.2Form66.7
40.2Power64.8
1.44xG1.76
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