GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/3/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayern Alzenau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Bayern Alzenau are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Rot-Weiß Walldorf are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayern Alzenau hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 13.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Bayern Alzenau holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayern Alzenau

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

56.1%

Bayern Alzenau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayern AlzenauWWWWL

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Rot-Weiß WalldorfLLLLL

GF 6 · GA 21 · avg 1.20/4.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Bayern AlzenauRot-Weiß Walldorf
44.4Attack22.2
44.4Defence0.0
22.2Form0.0
40.2Power13.7
2.37xG1.35
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