GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 5/3/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayern Alzenau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Bayern Alzenau are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hornau are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayern Alzenau hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.7% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Bayern Alzenau holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayern Alzenau

Probability

60.7%

Model confidence

60.7%

Bayern Alzenau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayern AlzenauLDWWD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
HornauLLDWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Bayern AlzenauHornau
44.4Attack50.9
44.4Defence15.7
22.2Form25.9
40.2Power32.7
2.91xG1.56
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