GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/13/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bayern Alzenau are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Friedberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 32.6-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayern AlzenauDDWWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FriedbergWDWLW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Bayern AlzenauFriedberg
44.4Attack66.7
44.4Defence66.7
22.2Form77.8
40.2Power72.8
1.47xG1.99
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