GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/12/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayern Alzenau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bayern Alzenau are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fernwald are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Bayern Alzenau holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayern Alzenau

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Bayern Alzenau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayern AlzenauWDDDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
FernwaldWDWDD

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Bayern AlzenauFernwald
44.4Attack41.7
44.4Defence58.3
22.2Form41.7
40.2Power48.8
1.62xG1.57
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