GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/19/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayern Alzenau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bayern Alzenau are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Fernwald are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Bayern Alzenau holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayern Alzenau

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Bayern Alzenau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayern AlzenauWWWWL

GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FernwaldWDLDL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bayern AlzenauFernwald
44.4Attack41.7
44.4Defence58.3
22.2Form41.7
40.2Power48.8
1.62xG1.57
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