GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/25/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayern Alzenau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Bayern Alzenau are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while FC 1906 Erlensee are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayern Alzenau hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Bayern Alzenau holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayern Alzenau

Probability

58.5%

Model confidence

58.5%

Bayern Alzenau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayern AlzenauLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeWWLLD

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Bayern AlzenauFC 1906 Erlensee
44.4Attack41.2
44.4Defence30.4
22.2Form26.5
40.2Power34.5
2.40xG1.26
View match centre →