GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 3/9/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eddersheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bayern Alzenau are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Eddersheim are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Eddersheim hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 62.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Eddersheim holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eddersheim

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Eddersheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayern AlzenauLWWWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
EddersheimWDDWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bayern AlzenauEddersheim
44.4Attack66.7
44.4Defence66.7
22.2Form55.6
40.2Power62.7
1.52xG1.92
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