GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/10/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayern Alzenau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bayern Alzenau are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Baunatal are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayern Alzenau hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Bayern Alzenau holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayern Alzenau

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Bayern Alzenau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayern AlzenauWWLWD

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
BaunatalDLLLW

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Bayern AlzenauBaunatal
44.4Attack22.2
44.4Defence44.4
22.2Form11.1
40.2Power29.5
1.92xG1.41
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