Bayer Leverkusen Wvs
Werder Bremen W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 10/2/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayer Leverkusen W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bayer Leverkusen W 3-2 Werder Bremen W
Original prediction
Bayer Leverkusen W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 54.8% | 42.6% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.0% | 24.8% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 4.03 | 22.2% | 32.6% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Bayer Leverkusen W
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Bayer Leverkusen W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80