Bayer Leverkusen Wvs
VfL Wolfsburg W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 8/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayer Leverkusen W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bayer Leverkusen W 1-2 VfL Wolfsburg W
Original prediction
Bayer Leverkusen W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.05 | 29.5% | 38.4% | 9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.7% | 26.1% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 44.9% | 35.5% | -9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Bayer Leverkusen W
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Bayer Leverkusen W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80