Bayer Leverkusen Wvs
Bayern Munich W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 9/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayern Munich W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bayer Leverkusen W 2-3 Bayern Munich W
Original prediction
Bayern Munich W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.26 | 12.3% | 27.6% | 15.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.84 | 18.5% | 24.0% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 1.29 | 69.2% | 48.4% | -20.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Bayern Munich W
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Bayern Munich W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40