GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 4/11/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayer Leverkusen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bayer Leverkusen are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while West Ham are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayer Leverkusen hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (73.5 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Bayer Leverkusen holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayer Leverkusen

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Bayer Leverkusen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayer LeverkusenWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
West HamWDLDW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bayer LeverkusenWest Ham
79.5Attack53.3
66.7Defence73.3
76.9Form63.3
73.5Power63.2
1.42xG0.95
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