Bayer Leverkusenvs
VfB Stuttgart
COMPLETEDGermany · Super Cup · 8/17/2024, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayer Leverkusen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bayer Leverkusen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while VfB Stuttgart are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Super Cup, while Bayer Leverkusen holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bayer Leverkusen
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Bayer Leverkusen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00