GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayer Leverkusen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Bayer Leverkusen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rot-weiss Essen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayer Leverkusen hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (83.6 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bayer Leverkusen holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayer Leverkusen

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

51.4%

Bayer Leverkusen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayer LeverkusenWWWDL

GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rot-weiss EssenLLWWL

GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Bayer LeverkusenRot-weiss Essen
100.0Attack95.8
76.2Defence41.7
85.7Form58.3
83.6Power63.4
3.11xG1.56
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